Accurate-Donor
0xd0be339068611b55fd0667f9c6e5a0330960492f
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7374 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-679.61
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7000 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-689.41
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
6064 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
4060 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-592.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?
2504 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-33.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 31?
2001 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.01
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
1923 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-371.78
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1610 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 31?
1198 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.79
- NO
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
989 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-128.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$7.04Jan 30, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$22.00Jan 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$12.32Jan 29, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?$41.37Jan 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.80Jan 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?$38.47Jan 29, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?$45.00Jan 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?$40.50Jan 25, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.41Jan 25, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$29.00Jan 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$27.90Jan 15, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$19.20Jan 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$19.91Dec 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$43.00Dec 7, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.45Dec 4, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.95Dec 4, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 in 2025?$1.54Dec 4, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 in 2025?$1.20Dec 4, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired in 2025?$0.86Dec 4, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $51.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".