Tremendous-Efficacy
0xd0c3010bbbb125bde43fa987a25d6c782f33af2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
773 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
393 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-124.96
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
142 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-29.90
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$44.99Nov 6, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.59Nov 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$0.59Nov 6, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$29.97Nov 6, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 6, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$29.90Nov 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$10.00Nov 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$10.00Nov 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$2.00Nov 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$2.00Nov 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 3.0%-4.0%?$1.00Nov 5, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$5.00Nov 5, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$5.00Nov 5, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$10.00Nov 5, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$5.00Nov 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$5.00Nov 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$5.00Nov 5, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".