Carefree-Marsh
0xd0c597d1256d9322b8ccac18fc0f142ddfd42384
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.15
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.14
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
10111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.1K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1171 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-585.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
191 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-95.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$5.00Jun 7, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$5.00Jun 7, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$4.97May 28, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.00May 28, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.97May 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16Apr 26, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.2KNov 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$585.50Nov 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$610.50Nov 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$95.50Oct 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.1KOct 20, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Oct 12, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Oct 12, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.0KOct 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.0KOct 12, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona win on 2025-10-04?$10.00Oct 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona win on 2025-10-04?$4.10Oct 4, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in September?$18.43Oct 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in September?$18.39Sep 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$299.70Sep 29, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $554.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.