0xd0d348b424ba5c804bd9f2b4b459f60d27d3c89d
0xd0d348b424ba5c804bd9f2b4b459f60d27d3c89d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.79
Total PnL
$0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.58
$0.49
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.55
$0.46
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 17 2026?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.90
$-0.19
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 17 2026?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.76
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 17 2026?$2.14Aug 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 17 2026?$2.12Aug 17, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?$4.45Aug 15, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$2.12Aug 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.09Aug 14, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?$5.50Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?$2.14Aug 13, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?$2.13Aug 13, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.73Aug 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.09Aug 8, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?$4.45Aug 7, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 7, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?$0.00Aug 6, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 6, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$0.00Aug 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?$2.12Aug 6, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 5, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.