Well-Made-Ballot
0xd0d6a9e7b829b2be380295f2426f37848ed5a674
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-797.83
Realised
$9.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1962 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.39
- DOMINICAN REP.
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
1300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-597.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2PM ET
762 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
377 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
354 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET
283 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
136 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
135 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6PM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.46Mar 20, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$3.46Mar 20, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$7.39Mar 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$15.00Mar 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.00Mar 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$7.00Mar 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$31.39Mar 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.00Mar 15, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.00Mar 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA$597.83Mar 15, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7PM ET$3.50Mar 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFinal Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico$3.44Mar 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6PM ET$0.07Mar 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6PM ET$15.22Mar 14, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.