Frugal-Weight
0xd0d865a9810c367f1c0338a713412d7eeffd7405
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$243.70
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3529 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$89.65
$29.65
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1154 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.71
$-4.28
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
357 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.65
$-0.18
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
840 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.26
$-183.54
- YES
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
3598 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-233.91
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
1507 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-392.52
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $66 by end of February?
442 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-159.12
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
250 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" during tariff event on April 2?
224 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-89.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.84Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.71Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.79Jun 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.77Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$35.85May 4, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$44.15May 4, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.57Apr 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.52Apr 27, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.83Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$114.98Apr 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$30.32Apr 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$4.00Apr 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.70Apr 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$146.35Mar 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$3.65Mar 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$152.50Mar 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $66 by end of February?$159.12Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$160.00Jan 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$135.00Dec 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.78Dec 10, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $62.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.