Intentional-Inhibition
0xd0d920677cf913e289b6467dde2140d4fa43d6db
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$127.44
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
13133 shares @ 15.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-602.76
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
5889 shares @ 22.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$971.70
$-331.17
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
11925 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$775.16
$-657.91
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
2569 shares @ 32.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$757.93
$-67.76
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
4292 shares @ 20.7¢·now 14.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$600.88
$-286.18
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
5559 shares @ 7.9¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$311.28
$-126.42
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
1223 shares @ 38.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$226.22
$-240.52
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
183 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$166.04
$2.75
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
703 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$101.93
$-24.73
- YES
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
865 shares @ 7.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.34
$-28.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$5.55Aug 7, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$157.73Aug 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$13.53Aug 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5.79Aug 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$18.27Aug 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$17.11Aug 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$13.81Aug 7, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5.39Aug 6, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$15.54Aug 6, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$14.49Aug 6, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$13.68Aug 6, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$13.38Aug 6, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.31Aug 6, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4.57Aug 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$33.11Aug 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$106.25Aug 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$108.57Aug 6, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$127.61Aug 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$164.54Aug 6, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $39.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.