Bad-Concrete
0xd0ed4a38ba8f617c9d2ac285738290d3c5a2761a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-1.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$3.67
$2.68
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".