Functional-Purpose
0xd0f44b15c18ec0ddbb46af8732a947cdb5392eaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-313.37
Realised
$50.15
Win rate
73%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
637 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
293 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
267 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
184 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
102 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
83 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.03Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.04Jul 28, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.81Jul 28, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.08Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.05Jul 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.13Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.54Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.06Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.05Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.02Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.83Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
33 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.