0xd104afbb9f2e11a1cb7b964833fff3d45eb88599
0xd104afbb9f2e11a1cb7b964833fff3d45eb88599
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$205.41
Total PnL
$-160.05
Realised
$-6.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
165 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$165.29
$7.52
- NO
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
40 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$40.12
$0.56
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
101 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
84 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.48
- YES
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
80 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-78.28
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
80 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
41 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
41 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
40 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
40 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$4.40May 4, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$3.25Apr 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$28.33Apr 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?$6.77Apr 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.80Apr 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$119.88Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$1.15Apr 6, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$2.47Apr 6, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$14.45Apr 6, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$39.60Apr 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$23.21Apr 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$57.60Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$193.53Apr 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$122.40Apr 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?$13.65Apr 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$17.20Apr 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$133.95Apr 1, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$11.21Apr 1, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$95.11Apr 1, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.44Apr 1, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $37.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.