Complicated-Discretion
0xd108714537c4ce0c12621739611ed28a544fcabd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.62
Realised
$-134.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 13?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 12PM ET
625 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10AM ET
338 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 9?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 9?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?
78 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 13?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET$0.00Oct 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$70.10Oct 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$41.33Oct 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?$41.33Oct 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?$23.60Oct 14, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET$13.33Oct 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?$20.00Oct 14, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?$11.00Oct 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?$21.00Oct 14, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET$4.00Oct 14, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET$13.50Oct 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET$20.00Oct 14, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?$11.99Oct 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 13?$5.00Oct 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 13?$10.00Oct 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$47.88Oct 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$70.00Oct 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$22.95Oct 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$58.11Oct 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$200.00Oct 10, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $45.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.