Threadbare-Pumpernickel
0xd1091712f4ed0e17261feb174f5c080977506fa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$112.7K
Total PnL
$9.6K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
31961 shares @ 50.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.8K
$14.7K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
14500 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.4K
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
19161 shares @ 59.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$14.3K
$2.8K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
10189 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.1K
$277.66
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
7323 shares @ 60.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.8K
$1.3K
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
5355 shares @ 91.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$5.3K
$444.52
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
6110 shares @ 74.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$667.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
7442 shares @ 47.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.2K
$641.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
5527 shares @ 51.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.7K
$851.20
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
22400 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$-288.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$17.29Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$245.55Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.31Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$81.07Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$113.41Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.02Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$648.00Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$198.50Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.1KJun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$331.93Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$8.67Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$28.70Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$740.00Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.38Jun 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$543.81Jun 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$600.27Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.71Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.28Jun 13, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $359.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.