Creative-Bar
0xd11973e91672ec262ef9730b3fa9f43da03ddafa
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$36.48
Total PnL
$-7.05
Realised
$-1.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 80 and 90?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$8.25
$0.33
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $315?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$7.60
$0.61
- NO
Will United Arab Emirates win on 2026-03-26?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$6.38
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 25?
6 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$6.38
$0.27
- NO
Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- NO
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$2.87
$0.11
- ROCKETS
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 11?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UNDER
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 25?$3.90Mar 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 25?$4.45Mar 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on March 25?$4.59Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$4.75Mar 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $315?$6.99Mar 24, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 25?$4.59Mar 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on March 25?$5.24Mar 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 80 and 90?$7.92Mar 24, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 25?$5.36Mar 24, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?$5.39Mar 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?$6.17Mar 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Arab Emirates win on 2026-03-26?$6.19Mar 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 25?$6.11Mar 24, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jobs" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$5.00Mar 24, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannie Evans be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$5.00Mar 24, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 17 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$5.48Mar 24, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 18?$5.84Mar 24, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$6.04Mar 24, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 17 be less than 2,600,000?$7.72Mar 24, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 18?$4.00Mar 17, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".