Reasonable-Spume
0xd12966707be1a92cd0ee51507b1a0422b85fea72
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-166.54
Realised
$-8.54
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
7500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
18 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
4 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.00Jul 20, 02:01 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$3.24Jul 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.01Jul 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.96Jul 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$26.73Jul 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.23Jul 13, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$18.75Jul 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.07Jul 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.07Jul 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.07Jul 13, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.