Slippery-Sailboat
0xd12e82236cb7f5fe9bba1898a7d11c6871494a0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
154
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-128.54
Win rate
62%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
270 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-95.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
180 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-160.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
105 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
79 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
75 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
70 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
60 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-37.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
60 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
50 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
50 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.00May 28, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.75May 28, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.50May 28, 02:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.28May 28, 00:45 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$24.99May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.65May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.55May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.55May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.02May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.10May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.50May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.57May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.60May 27, 21:46 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.65May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.75May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.60May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.65May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.45May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.25May 27, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
39 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.