Slow-Psychology
0xd13056a1ee128477e906d6e0a718695b405f02a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-369.54
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
8735 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-296.99
- TSITSIPAS
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev
6479 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
4505 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-418.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?
1267 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-152.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
861 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.96
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
790 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-145.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
614 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-394.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
467 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
443 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jonathan David: 1+ goals
350 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-122.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.60Jul 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.53Jul 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.48Jul 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.41Jul 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$17.52Jul 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.34Jul 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3.79Jul 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.34Jul 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.17Jul 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$7.23Jul 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$35.00Jul 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.33Jul 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.26Jul 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.35Jul 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.24Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$20.83Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.36Jul 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.07Jul 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$22.08Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$61.39Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $35.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.