Exalted-Breadcrumb
0xd138d8a656b7e1191e1e099ad3426055f56e5be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$23.65
Total PnL
$-99.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
24 shares @ 40.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$23.65
$13.98
- YES
Iran strike on US military before November?
437 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-37.50
- YES
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
354 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-37.50
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?
173 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities in October?
89 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strike on Dimonah nuclear base in October?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2024?
24 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$2.50Oct 6, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$2.50Oct 6, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike gulf oil facilities in October? $5.00Oct 6, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$5.00Oct 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$5.00Oct 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$5.00Oct 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?$5.00Oct 6, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$10.00Oct 6, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$5.00Oct 6, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2024?$3.31Oct 6, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$18.31Oct 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?$5.00Oct 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$5.00Oct 5, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$10.00Oct 5, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$10.00Oct 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike gulf oil facilities in October? $5.00Oct 5, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrike on Dimonah nuclear base in October?$5.00Oct 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$4.67Oct 4, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Vuhledar before October? $0.00Oct 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Vuhledar before October? $10.00Oct 4, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 6, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".