Delirious-Session
0xd13ddc3a4488f556587324440e770850dc2c046b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$146.66
Total PnL
$-31.31
Realised
$-5.24
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$37.43
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$30.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.94
$0.05
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.69
$0.05
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.69
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.65
$0.65
- PISTONS
Nets vs. Pistons
22 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$37.43Jul 22, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.01Jul 22, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.03Jul 22, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$32.00Jul 22, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$30.00Jul 22, 12:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $21.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.