Spirited-Happening
0xd141fcf21b0373f57c9a686af94ab320f2ecb483
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
714 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
444 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.13Apr 8, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$0.00Nov 28, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$2.08Nov 28, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$1.00Nov 17, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$2.00Nov 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01?$0.00Nov 3, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Nov 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$6.67Nov 1, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.00Nov 1, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$0.00Nov 1, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$1.00Nov 1, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$1.00Nov 1, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$0.03Oct 30, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$0.00Oct 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 21, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".