Sociable-Manager
0xd14650532e11324cdaca20f45666486c24679bf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-101.2K
Realised
$573.30
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$15.00
- NO
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$825.00
$45.00
- QATAR
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
2000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$790.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3434 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$669.69
$-17.17
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
2000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$609.98
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$392.50
$-37.50
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
2000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$350.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
459 shares @ 34.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$172.04
$15.29
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1161 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.32
$-12.95
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.34
$-14.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$31.83Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$6.74Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$6.74Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$1.23Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.49Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$2.25Jun 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$31.00Jun 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.49Jun 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$0.45Jun 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.49Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.49Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$4.49Jun 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$44.93Jun 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$3.04Jun 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$2.25Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$8.99Jun 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$12.40Jun 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$18.72Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$0.45Jun 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$31.00Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $92.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.