Mixed-Ambiguity
0xd14ffa8b6090920a855fb817704d128c2810cb33
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$7.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UCLA
Penn State vs. UCLA
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$20.00
$19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
44 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on September 19?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 24?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET$1.00Oct 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on October 1?$0.00Oct 1, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State vs. UCLA$1.00Sep 30, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on October 1?$2.00Sep 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 1?$2.00Sep 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on September 30?$2.93Sep 30, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on September 30?$2.34Sep 30, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 30?$1.00Sep 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 30?$1.00Sep 29, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?$2.99Sep 29, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?$2.00Sep 28, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 28?$1.67Sep 28, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 28?$1.00Sep 27, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 27?$1.39Sep 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 27?$1.00Sep 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 26?$1.00Sep 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 25?$1.00Sep 25, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 24?$1.72Sep 25, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 23?$0.00Sep 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 24?$1.00Sep 24, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".