Competent-Pajamas
0xd155d4b5936c3d2f8e1fc1587dd648a53a96f596
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-170.36
Realised
$3.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 17?
1284 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 3?
872 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 3?
748 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 6?
650 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 4?
634 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on June 14?
633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?
626 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?
602 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?$10.71Jun 21, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 20, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?$2.08Jun 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?$2.10Jun 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?$2.10Jun 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 21?$2.06Jun 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 20?$2.10Jun 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 21?$2.09Jun 20, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 19?$0.00Jun 20, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?$33.33Jun 19, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 19?$2.09Jun 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 19?$2.08Jun 18, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?$2.10Jun 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 17?$2.10Jun 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 18?$2.09Jun 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 17?$2.09Jun 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 17?$1.05Jun 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 17?$2.10Jun 17, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.