Wrong-Reindeer
0xd1603fc6592954b78777dad9024957e9729106f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.44
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.38
$0.34
- NO
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
3485 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
3475 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
3475 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
3470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
3470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
440 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.04Mar 24, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$5.00Mar 24, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$4.93Feb 6, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWeed rescheduled in 2025?$1.01Feb 6, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.02Feb 6, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.00Jan 9, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$2.00Jan 7, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.5KDec 26, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.7KDec 26, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$232.44Dec 26, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.5KDec 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$3.5KDec 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.7KDec 26, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $948.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".