Warm-Gigantism
0xd17453e394b36ba62f4dd109b9d6fc68412cbd94
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$5.07
Total PnL
$-909.46
Realised
$59.68
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.06
$-1.94
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
618 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
601 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
418 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
207 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-38.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Bulls vs. Trail Blazers
137 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-107.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
134 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-26.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$93.23Mar 13, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$50.00Jan 31, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.46Jan 31, 11:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 31, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 29, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 28, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 26, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 25, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 24, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 23, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 22, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 21, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 20, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 19, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 18, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 17, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $30.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.