Showy-Regulation
0xd18350a0ccec16d41c222eff2dc42e68c44cfc51
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$47.30
Total PnL
$-297.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?
47 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$47.30
$12.30
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 17?
2647 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 17?
2460 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 17?
2175 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1713 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17?
917 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17?
789 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 12?$5.24May 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 12?$1.05May 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 12?$1.05May 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 12?$5.23May 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?$5.19May 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?$35.45May 11, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$19.21Apr 20, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 20, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 17?$0.00Apr 20, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 20, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?$0.00Apr 20, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?$5.00Apr 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$30.00Apr 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?$5.00Apr 19, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".