0xd18541dbab8567c6b0c202ef1050f65f22ce7005
0xd18541dbab8567c6b0c202ef1050f65f22ce7005
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$49.33
Total PnL
$1.67
Realised
$-3.67
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
17 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.56
$8.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
15 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.56
$7.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.00
$5.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.66
$2.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
2 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
26 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
4 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
2 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.01Jul 1, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.25Jul 1, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$4.25Jun 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.37Jun 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$6.01Jun 30, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$6.99Jun 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$6.27Jun 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$7.40Jun 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.45Jun 30, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$4.47Jun 30, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.42Jun 30, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.24Jun 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.65Jun 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.95Jun 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.25Jun 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.37Jun 30, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.87Jun 30, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.87Jun 30, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.77Jun 30, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.41Jun 30, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.