Watchful-Creative
0xd186521c26a9c25dfe4a31df80418223168ee51e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Alabama Presidential Election?
146 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?
144 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?
129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Vermont Presidential Election?
129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
117 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Arizona be the tipping point state?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?
63 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBournemouth wins the Premier League?$0.12Jan 21, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.11Jan 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?$0.14Dec 3, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.11Nov 24, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.12Nov 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona be the tipping point state?$0.12Nov 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?$0.13Nov 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?$0.13Nov 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 6, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$202.13Nov 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$202.34Nov 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$202.33Nov 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$202.54Nov 6, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$202.60Nov 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.07Nov 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$202.81Nov 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$203.09Nov 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$203.30Nov 6, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$203.02Nov 6, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$203.23Nov 6, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $79.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.