Impractical-Reconsideration
0xd186891977e2fc37fe02fd13910d255bc465966f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.70
Realised
$5.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Trump say "News" or "Media" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Soy" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 24?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
25 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
23 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
22 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$0.00Jan 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.50Dec 29, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.40Dec 29, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$7.39Dec 29, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?$9.31Dec 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5$9.99Dec 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$1.68Dec 27, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$1.12Dec 27, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?$1.01Dec 27, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?$7.40Dec 27, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5$6.20Dec 27, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$3.00Dec 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.01Dec 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?$10.00Dec 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?$2.04Dec 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.29Dec 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Dec 27, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?$4.12Dec 27, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?$2.76Dec 27, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?$1.11Dec 27, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".