Unwilling-Jogging
0xd18b03c486e0091495b23479e74c332b80da1e04
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$7.92
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1143 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
518 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverines
161 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.23
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
151 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- OILERS
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
129 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
124 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET
116 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-45.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMagic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$0.00Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.93Mar 6, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$3.94Mar 6, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Nava$0.00Mar 6, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.00Mar 6, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoe$10.00Mar 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$5.69Mar 6, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Nava$22.69Mar 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Nava$13.84Mar 5, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin$13.83Mar 5, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin$8.30Mar 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$8.30Feb 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$119.93Feb 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$11.82Feb 8, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $22.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".