Showy-Focus
0xd19ea50f37c99722319c43632fd6a93b2e62754e
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-535.30
Realised
$-5.21
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 18?
3490 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 18?
2375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?
1883 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 18?
1381 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 18?
1331 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 18?
1203 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 18?
1004 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$5.23Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$5.21Jul 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 28?$1.05Jul 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?$5.24Jul 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$5.23Jul 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?$5.21Jul 24, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?$16.41Jul 21, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 21?$17.65Jul 21, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?$21.43Jul 21, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 21?$37.50Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?$15.79Jul 21, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 20?$5.00Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?$11.27Jul 20, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$86.11Jul 20, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?$0.67Jul 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$5.24Jul 20, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 19?$6.02Jul 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 21?$3.13Jul 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 21?$3.14Jul 20, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 21?$3.12Jul 20, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 05:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.