Secret-Rider
0xd1a32183eed7689bf555d0aec5dbfdf827ee8dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
92 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the New Democratic Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
67 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
29 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.18
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$2.18Apr 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$13.50Apr 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$3.50Apr 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$1.50Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$2.50Apr 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Apr 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Apr 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$5.00Apr 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$3.00Apr 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$1.56Apr 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$10.00Apr 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$3.50Apr 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?$1.50Apr 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$5.10Apr 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$3.50Mar 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$5.00Mar 26, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.