Elaborate-Billing
0xd1a55300ff55fbb36737f965fd29a6c44e01c139
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.82
Realised
$28.69
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
711 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.76
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
500 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
455 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-56.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
410 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
300 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
250 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.82
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?
210 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.45
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8.80Nov 2, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$9.78Nov 2, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.59Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$2.00Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.20Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$1.80Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$20.00Nov 1, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$6.80Sep 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$0.20Sep 19, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?$40.00Sep 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$6.82Sep 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$12.00Sep 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?$8.70Sep 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?$12.40Sep 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$4.50Sep 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$10.50Sep 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$5.28Sep 7, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$6.50Sep 7, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$0.06Aug 20, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.00Aug 20, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".