Blissful-Maestro
0xd1a63a243042d864520512fbdbd2fd20e0ab1507
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.56
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-317.07
Win rate
0%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
7867 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$3.93
$3.93
- YES
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2662 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.33
$-28.58
- YES
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2662 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.33
$-28.58
- YES
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2528 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.26
$-27.14
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
811 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.41
$-30.80
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
806 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.40
$-30.61
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
771 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.39
$-29.27
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
770 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.39
$-29.23
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
770 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.39
$-29.23
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
56 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.17
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SCU Torreense win on 2026-08-01?$6.37Jul 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-08-01?$0.76Jul 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto vs. SCU Torreense end in a draw?$6.11Jul 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 30?$0.00Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 30?$0.00Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 30?$0.00Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 30?$0.00Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Houston on July 30?$4.40Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30?$0.58Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 30?$0.95Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 30?$0.79Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 30?$1.08Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 31?$0.00Jul 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on July 31?$0.00Jul 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 31?$0.00Jul 29, 17:45 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in London on July 31?$7.70Jul 29, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
107 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.