Vague-Prow
0xd1a8d4efc9eceea5eb6783b4f84194bc8d3fbcf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$10.26
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
97%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
877 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$-94.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
24651 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-29.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8AM ET
9000 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 7AM ET
4000 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-849.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6AM ET
3016 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-369.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2030 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6PM ET
2000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 11AM ET
2000 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-688.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.15May 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4.00May 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.44May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.00May 16, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.59May 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$4.01May 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$4.00May 16, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.89May 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.00May 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.44May 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.06May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.89May 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.06May 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$746.19May 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$497.41May 6, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$9.93Mar 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$9.94Mar 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$9.94Mar 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$9.94Mar 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$9.94Mar 11, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".