Thirsty-Dinner
0xd1aa5981fc8c864b7b38a52111fa13283ca7d11c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$14.78
Total PnL
$-0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.81
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Apr 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.97Apr 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.92Apr 18, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March?$5.00Apr 3, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?$5.00Apr 3, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$5.00Apr 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March?$4.99Mar 25, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?$4.99Mar 25, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February?$5.00Mar 25, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Mar 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$4.99Feb 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February?$4.99Feb 23, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$4.99Feb 23, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?$5.00Feb 12, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 11?$5.00Feb 12, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 11?$5.00Feb 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 11?$5.00Feb 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 11?$5.00Feb 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?$5.00Feb 11, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 10?$5.00Feb 11, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.