Alarming-Grove
0xd1b09e1313f90de9e6c8b534ca45fbf5b63bc3f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-322.62
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
18565 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-96.71
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
9900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 20?
3118 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-195.84
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
473 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.93
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.00Oct 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$30.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$5.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$2.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$48.74Oct 1, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 20?$0.00Sep 20, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 20?$104.12Sep 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 20?$91.97Sep 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$4.13Sep 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$4.40Sep 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$13.09Aug 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.50Jul 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$2.50Jul 30, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$9.90Jul 29, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".