Bumpy-Twig
0xd1b2bd100076d0dd7e15772eafdb559b50319f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-45.65
Win rate
0%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
453 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
285 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-89.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
252 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
162 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
145 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.46
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
109 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-72.90
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
96 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.46
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
79 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
66 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.65
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
63 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.32Aug 5, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.02Aug 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.96Aug 3, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.09Aug 3, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.77Jul 31, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.10Jul 31, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$24.89Jul 30, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$15.42Jul 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.14Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$173.28Jul 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$137.09Jul 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$45.86Jul 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$15.36Jul 30, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.13Jul 30, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$86.32Jul 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$46.51Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$15.51Jul 29, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.27Jul 29, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.20Jul 29, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.14Jul 29, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
78 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $54.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.