Classic-League
0xd1b370a9122375fca47c7718e0e9bcb9927814b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-701.77
Realised
$183.79
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
9167 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1398 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.94
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
1378 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-61.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
1212 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
1032 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
1030 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
866 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-26.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
863 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
513 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-22.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$25.00Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25.00Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$25.00Mar 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25.00Mar 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$35.98Mar 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Mar 4, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$108.82Mar 4, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.