Informal-Confirmation
0xd1b6d681af1e613050a433bae0e839b1898dd233
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$131.23
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
6577 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
5078 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
3517 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
3000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2292 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-990.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2100 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-750.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
1836 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-170.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
1755 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-253.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$22.86Dec 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$20.00Dec 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$250.60Nov 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$100.00Nov 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$56.00Nov 15, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$406.60Nov 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$192.41Nov 15, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$14.29Nov 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$3.40Nov 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$22.40Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$28.80Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$1.49Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$9.30Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$9.30Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$1.95Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET$7.96Nov 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$490.97Nov 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$500.00Nov 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$100.00Nov 13, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 13, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $92.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.