Complicated-Geyser
0xd1c2124a4ba6fe30e3c485a99d55eb5fab1a058d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.50
Realised
$-2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
6616 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
609 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kick in" or "Kicked in" during Fed chair announcement?
199 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Outstanding" during Fed chair announcement?
151 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will "ICE" be said at the Grammys?
41 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$85.71Feb 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$3.96Feb 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.32Feb 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?$10.00Jan 30, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Outstanding" during Fed chair announcement?$10.00Jan 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kick in" or "Kicked in" during Fed chair announcement?$10.00Jan 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?$10.00Jan 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$100.00Jan 30, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ICE" be said at the Grammys?$20.00Jan 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$10.00Jan 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$5.00Jan 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$5.00Jan 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$200.00Jan 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Greenland" during the announcement on Thursday?$0.12Jan 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$2.50Jan 29, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$5.00Jan 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 29, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the announcement on Thursday?$0.68Jan 29, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the announcement on Thursday?$10.00Jan 29, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $36.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".