Fickle-Baritone
0xd1d434371444414ce0b6cdf307e42c77b9cfd296
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$81.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
14092 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?
980 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-79.00
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
955 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-296.06
- NO
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
201 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will "AI" be said during the Robinhood stream?
173 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?
122 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?
85 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thank" or "Please" 20+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?
66 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$142.30Mar 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$153.76Mar 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$222.00Dec 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$16.61Dec 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$3.22Dec 19, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$93.83Dec 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?$45.00Dec 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$45.00Dec 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$90.00Dec 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $320.82Dec 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $80.00Dec 19, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $35.74Dec 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $321.58Dec 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $35.72Dec 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $2.70Dec 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $127.82Dec 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $26.95Dec 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $88.00Dec 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $33.00Dec 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $163.13Dec 19, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $73.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".