Severe-Sweater
0xd1e1e6dfb3bcb646a1f0f8d44471767286e069a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$274.37
Total PnL
$458.72
Realised
$450.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
1716 shares @ 5.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$120.79
$20.79
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
856 shares @ 11.7¢·now 10.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.71
$-6.29
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
414 shares @ 5.8¢·now 14.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.87
$35.73
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$104.71Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$104.00Jun 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$505.30Jun 12, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$2.6KMay 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.3KMay 23, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 23, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 23, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$0.00May 23, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$1.3KMay 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$1.2KMay 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$319.23May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$69.66May 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 14, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?$31.75May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?$134.10May 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$100.00May 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$100.69May 6, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$280.00May 6, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$100.00May 6, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$100.00May 6, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $175.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.