Free-Lag
0xd1e810030576d834be1d7880c26f31e09c8e2f82
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$256.60
Total PnL
$-52.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 4?
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$100.71
$0.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 3?
101 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 3, 2026$100.58
$0.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 4?
20 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$20.15
$0.15
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$11.13
$1.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on May 4?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 4, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?
10 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 3?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.04
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?$3.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on May 4?$10.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 4?$100.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 3?$100.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?$10.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?$1.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 4?$20.012h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 3?$102.486h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 3?$5.3211h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 3?$11.3616h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 3?$5.1319h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?$8.4719h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on May 2?$10.531d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 3?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?$1.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 3?$2.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 3?$5.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 3?$2.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?$1.041d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $22.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".