Wallet profile

Illiterate-Counterforce

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb

activity 61/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-769.5K

Realised

$125.8K

Win rate

77%

142 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$599.0K

Trades

11

Buy share

99%

Window

May 20, 02:00 UTC → Jul 10, 19:41 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $9.8K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

77/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

77% win rate over 142 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

50 live trades, 34 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

142 closed markets, 77% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$83.0K

7 trades

Buy share

99%

Sample

established

34 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

$230.3K · 38% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?38% of recorded volume$230.3KWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?7% of recorded volume$41.5KWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?7% of recorded volume$41.1K

Profile dimensions

Activity73 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry26 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk29 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
50
Avg trade size
$10.65
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 28, 11:31 UTC
Last active
Jul 28, 11:43 UTC
Win rate sample
142 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 11:43:38 UTC·src:Polymarket Data