Realistic-Burnout
0xd1ede018cf5724268c8881888a2d0822e8e765af
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.82
Total PnL
$-76.50
Realised
$26.54
Win rate
100%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Evander win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$0.64
$0.04
- YES
Will Danny Musovski win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$0.49
$-0.10
- YES
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.16
- YES
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
11 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$0.14
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
11 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.25
- YES
Will Tai Baribo win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
26 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$0.04
$-0.68
- YES
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
81 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
73 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will Los Angeles Clippers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
70 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?$0.13Jun 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?$0.68Jun 12, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$0.03May 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on April 16?$0.05Apr 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 16?$0.05Apr 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on April 16?$0.12Apr 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 16?$0.12Apr 14, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.32Apr 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?$0.10Apr 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.04Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.10Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.10Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 14?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 19?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 19?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 6°C on March 11?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on February 14?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on February 14?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Roddy win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Men's Singles) tournament?$0.00Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $0.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.