Well-Lit-Archaeology
0xd1f38ef6429a45ba820eabecd222a5d5643bd460
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
121096 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-600.39
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
18648 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-544.41
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Utah Presidential Election?
11317 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-104.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
10888 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-77.48
- YES
RFK Jr. wins a state?
10096 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-103.92
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?
8168 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
5465 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-39.06
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
5439 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-22.32
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
5001 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-19.73
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?
4630 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-33.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$0.01Nov 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$0.01Nov 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$0.00Nov 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$4.01Oct 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?$4.00Oct 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$3.66Sep 30, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PC win the most in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?$4.70Sep 30, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$0.23Sep 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMonkeypox pandemic in 2024?$1.00Sep 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.50Sep 28, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?$5.64Sep 17, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$0.00Sep 3, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?$5.34Sep 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?$1.08Sep 2, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil unban X before October?$1.81Sep 2, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$0.46Sep 2, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$3.75Sep 1, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMKamala mentions McDonald’s again before debate?$8.70Sep 1, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics?$0.02Aug 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics?$0.20Aug 31, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".