Jittery-Color
0xd1f781ee17585037648bf75b18199dbe8645dae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?
32810 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-445.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?
880 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-435.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?
500 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-492.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?
400 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-98.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?
399 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
390 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-244.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?
359 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-277.91
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 13?
344 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-288.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
306 shares @ 86.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-266.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?
300 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$125.00Jul 28, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?$88.57Jul 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$121.75Jul 28, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$299.99Jul 27, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$1.3KJul 27, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?$58.79Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?$28.04Jul 27, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$146.94Jul 27, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$444.42Jul 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$344.52Jul 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$275.56Jul 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$13.04Jul 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$279.55Jul 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?$282.53Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$59.43Jul 27, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$13.95Jul 27, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$26.57Jul 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$179.30Jul 26, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 26?$199.52Jul 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?$95.20Jul 26, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $109.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.