Careful-Seat
0xd1f9fead604fea7cf90d0d431718e877b0059966
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Macron out in 2025?
96 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
41 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 14?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
35 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.11
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET
26 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-13.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET$7.11Oct 15, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ET$2.50Oct 15, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET$9.62Oct 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET$13.25Oct 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET$4.00Oct 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 14?$4.00Oct 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET$5.00Oct 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 14?$2.00Oct 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$17.00Oct 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sidemen's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?$7.23Oct 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sidemen's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?$10.00Oct 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by October 31?$2.00Oct 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$5.00Oct 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$9.60Oct 10, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$3.00Oct 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?$2.00Oct 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".