0xd1fed8388b076e7a79bc9dbcb93cc57af824b06d
0xd1fed8388b076e7a79bc9dbcb93cc57af824b06d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$271.22
Realised
$-116.31
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
629 shares @ 45.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$628.70
$341.11
- NO
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$249.97
$124.97
- YES
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?
103 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2023$103.24
$17.90
- NO
[Single Market] Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
67 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$66.67
$15.75
- YES
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
57 shares @ 60.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2023$56.63
$22.40
- NO
[Single Market] Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$49.80
$8.88
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
49 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2023$49.01
$13.79
- NO
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023?
22 shares @ 61.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$21.82
$8.36
- NO
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 58.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2023$15.72
$6.51
- NO
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 58.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2023$15.72
$6.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'Archive 81' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 30?$0.38Mar 18, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture$5.03Mar 18, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record?$1.03Mar 18, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ian Nepomniachtchi win the WR Chess Masters?$10.69Mar 18, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture?$103.24Mar 18, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023?$1.0KMar 18, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023?$10.21Feb 25, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the WR Chess Masters?$35.00Feb 25, 09:43 UTC
- MERGEWill Andrew Tate be released by April 30?$86.47Feb 25, 09:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Andrew Tate be released by April 30?$100.00Feb 25, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023?$28.87Feb 15, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill US inflation be more than 0.2% from December 2022 to January 2023?$49.01Feb 15, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Santos resign by January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?$160.19Feb 2, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting?$133.33Feb 1, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting?$43.64Feb 1, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting?$43.64Feb 1, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting?$133.33Feb 1, 23:53 UTC
- SPLITWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$10.00Jan 30, 21:52 UTC
- MERGEWill US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023?$21.13Jan 28, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".