Crowded-Production
0xd1ffab16596ca6be5caca6051aa77ffa14d5ae15
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.63
Total PnL
$-554.54
Realised
$1.09
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.63
$-0.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7PM ET
1911 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?
1295 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-36.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
1051 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
716 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?
560 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-89.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
350 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.69
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?
334 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 14?
301 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 15?
229 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$24.97Jan 27, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.75Jan 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.45Jan 16, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.07Jan 16, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.59Jan 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.96Jan 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.34Jan 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.10Jan 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.33Jan 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.33Jan 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.63Jan 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.77Jan 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.26Jan 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.47Jan 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.46Jan 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$13.00Jan 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$5.69Jan 15, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$5.28Jan 15, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$0.91Jan 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?$5.50Jan 15, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".